before you go any further.
Probability of scoring a goal
| Goals |
P(1) |
P(2) |
| 0 |
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| 9 |
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What is Probability of scoring a goal?
P(1) is the probability of scoring for Team 1
P(2) is the probability of scoring for Team 2
The numbers 0 – 9 display the count of goals.
As an example, the number displayed in row 3 and column P(2) tells you the probability of Team 2 (Away Team) scoring 3 goals in the match.
Calculated 3 Way result odds
What is Calculated 3 Way result odds?
Based on the average number of scored goals you put into the upper table, we calculated the odds. Now you can compare the odds with those provided by the bookmaker.
The odds creator has limitations. It can be only used for teams with average goals scored lower than 4. Important number is in the column “Σ“. The sum of probabilities should be 1 or very close to it. Do not consider the results as valid if the sum is lower than 0,98. In that case you have to manually adjust the odds, which is indeed fine but you have to know what you are doing.
Probability of exact score in %
| Goals |
0 |
1 |
2 |
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4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
| 0 |
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| 7 |
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| 8 |
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| 9 |
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In the last table we display the probability of exact score displayed in percentage. This helps you to get a feeling of how likely the event is to occur. If you for example find a value in 3% (because bookie is offering let’s say 1%), you should know there is still a very low chance and you have to place many tickets with this chance to get the money back.
